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EYE ON THE INDUSTRY
Future Trends Supplementals Should Watch

By Charlene Gaynor
CEO, The Association of Educational Publishers

For years, experts have predicted revolutionary changes in education brought about by factors such as teacher retirement, the No Child Left Behind Act, one-to-one computing, and digital delivery of educational content.  In many cases these changes have already begun to take place, but in some instances, developments have yet to be seen.

This article is the third in a series authored by AEP's Chief Executive Officer Charlene Gaynor outlining future trends that promise to have the greatest impact on publishers of educational materials.  In this installment, Gaynor discusses the impact that new technologies may have on delivering curriculum.

Schools without walls
At the 2005 Educational Publishing Summit, Chester Finn of the Fordham Foundation predicted a separation of learning from buildings known as schools.  With a growing portion of education being delivered electronically, Finn said he sees future "classrooms" in which teachers lead lessons from across the country.  While this model may seem decades away, it is clear that the "e-learning revolution" - or more specifically the use of digital curricula delivered on PCs, laptops, handheld or other electronic devices - is well underway.  It seems like every week we hear a new story about a school or district that is not just using technology in the classroom, but incorporating it into every day curricula.  The Vail, Arizona, School District attracted national headlines last year when it became the first district in the U.S. to entirely replace textbooks with laptops.  More recently, policymakers in Michigan announced a proposal that would make participation in some form of online instruction a high school graduation requirement.

In order to remain relevant, companies must start thinking in terms of content instead of print versus software, and continue to develop new business models that better accommodate this type of publishing.  For example, in order to serve teachers of the future, publishers may need to offer a single chapter rather than an entire textbook, or a digital file of a worksheet that students can download from home instead of a workbook. 

 

Home schooling
Home schooling has been cited by many as one of the fastest-growing trends in the American education system.  According to a 2001 Census Bureau report, as many as two million American children were schooled at home that year, with that number growing at an estimated 15 to 20 percent per year.  This growth began over a decade ago, when states began to do away with laws requiring parents of home-schooled children to complete teaching certification programs, but has really begun to take off with the advent of the information age.

While they may not have been raised with a computer in their homes, the current generation of parents is far more computer literate than their parents were, and the next generation will be even more well-versed in technology.  Thus, the increased availability of information provided by the Internet, the prevalence of online courses and distance learning, and the development of websites that offer advice and curriculum programs are key factors in propelling home schooling into the mainstream as a viable education option.

As parents of home-schooled students increase in number, publishers can cater to their needs by developing content suited to one-to-one learning environments and offering it as part of home schooling curriculum packages or piecemeal through online catalogs.

In the next and final article in the "Future Trends" series, Gaynor will discuss new business models and issues impacting the educational publishing profession.

 

Questions, ideas, or in need of more information? Please contact Stacey Pusey at 302-295-8349.

 

"Textbooks dumped in favor of laptops"
--eSchool News

"Michigan floats online learning requirement"
--eSchool News

"Town Hall Panelists Say NCLB's Role Will Not Diminish"
--AEP Online

For more information on home schooling trends, see the Census Bureau Report, "Home Schooling in the United States: Trends and Characteristics"

 

 

 

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