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EYE ON THE INDUSTRY
Future Trends Supplementals Should Watch

By Charlene Gaynor
CEO, The Association of Educational Publishers

This article is the first in a series by AEP Chief Executive Officer Charlene Gaynor outlining future trends that promise to have the greatest impact on publishers of educational materials.  For years, experts have predicted revolutionary changes in education brought about by factors such as teacher retirement, the No Child Left Behind Act, one-to-one computing, and digital delivery of educational content.  In many cases these changes have already begun to take place, but in some instances, developments have yet to be seen.

In this installment Gaynor examines the increasing presence of government influence on decision-making at the state and local levels, on postal rates, and on the future of digital content and intellectual property rights.

GOVERNMENT INFLUENCE

Accountability Mandates
Accountability has become part of the educational landscape and only promises to influence the industry more as NCLB expands into other core subject areas and high schools.  However, while no one contends with the intentions of the bill, the implementation of certain NCLB mandates has proven more difficult than originally thought.

Since the start of her term last January, Education Secretary Margaret Spellings has dealt with some of the most aggressive attacks on the law to date.  Last year several states filed suit over NCLB mandates, and others passed legislation in direct opposition to the federal law.  The Education Department has paid close attention to complaints against NCLB and in April announced a new "common sense" policy toward the bill's implementation that promises flexible interpretations of certain mandates on a case-by-case basis.

In regard to the publishing community, it has been unclear how some of the bill's research requirements apply to supplemental materials - if at all.  Strict literal interpretations of accountability mandates have made district decision-makers wary of products that may not meet the stringent "gold standard" of efficacy research, which calls for randomized clinical trials.  In other cases, unclear language has caused confusion about the use of supplemental materials in early intervention programs and other federally funded education initiatives. 

In the coming year, AEP plans to bring these issues to the attention of legislators during NCLB reauthorization with the hopes of securing similar common sense policies toward supplemental materials.  As government influence over research standards and funding continues to grow, federal acknowledgement will mark a major step in the recognition of supplementals as necessary components in classroom curriculum.

Postal Rates
Despite Congressional intent to preserve affordable postal rates for schools and libraries, over the years rates have continued to increase dramatically to cover rising U.S. Postal Service costs.  The latest increase, 5.4 percent, went into effect January 8.  Although do exist for publishers of classroom periodicals, most are percentage discounts; therefore, any rise in postal rates still means an increase in shipping costs.  As a result, many of these rates have become ineffectively high and out of line with historical precedent, and many publishers have been forced to seek out alternative shipping methods.

AEP recently joined the Literacy Rate Coalition, a unified front of education organizations that feel the USPS should reaffirm its commitment to the education of today's youth by facilitating the dissemination of classroom learning materials.  The goal of the coalition is to establish a postal rate provision for publishers shipping educational materials to schools, libraries and literacy programs. 

Another USPS rate case may begin as early as the first half of this year.  AEP will post updates in the Government Relations section of its website at http://www.aepweb.org/govrelations/index.htm.

Digital Content
The reauthorized Individuals with Disabilities Act (IDEA) was signed into law on December 3, 2004, and included provisions for a National Instructional Materials Accessibility Standard (NIMAS).  The NIMAS is a standard file format intended to facilitate the conversion of textbooks and other instructional materials into alternate formats such as Braille, audio, or digital text.  The ultimate goal of establishing this standard is to increase accessibility to students with physical or mental disabilities that inhibit their ability to read printed text.

If publishers haven't already begun thinking of their products in digital terms, NIMAS is one factor that will help bring this issue to the forefront.  Recognizing content - rather than physical product - as your asset changes a publisher's business model in a number of ways.  While it opens up new revenue possibilities, it also raises a number of questions about licensing and distribution rights, many of which are the same questions for which music industry executives have yet to find answers.

AEP's role in the near future is to raise awareness about the NIMAS and to represent the interests of supplemental educational publishers as the standards are updated and implemented.

 

The next part in the Eye on the Industry series will focus on the changing demographics of teachers brought about by higher teacher turnover and retirement rates.  It will be featured in AEP Online on February 7.

 

Questions, ideas, or in need of more information? Please contact Stacey Pusey at 302-295-8349.

 

View the USED policy paper "Raising Achievement: A New Path for No Child Left Behind" here

Click here to go to AEP's NCLB Countdown page

AEP Government Relations

The NIMAS standards can be found on the website of the Center for Applied Special Technology (CAST): http://nimas.cast.org.

 

 

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