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Challenges to NCLB Mandates--Education Sector Report
As legislators, the Aspen Institute, and the U.S. Department of
Education are making recommendations on how to improve and change
NCLB during the 2007 reauthorization, the issue of testing has
taken center stage.
Virtually all the groups are in agreement that changes in the
measurement of individual student progress will be made. The new "growth
model" approach will measure how much progress a student makes
during the year instead of year to year. Most believe this more
accurately represents what the student has mastered.
What has yet to be discussed is how the states can manage the
pressures of mandated testing. Most education experts believe that
science testing will be added to reading and math, yet it is unclear
where the funds will come from and if the current system can accommodate
yet another subject.
The Education Sector analysis of the subject, titled Margins
of Error: The Education Testing Industry in the No Child Left
Behind Era, is instructive. The report's author, Thomas
Leach, reveals the tenuous relationship between standards, funding,
and capacity. He also lends credibility to the argument that
the NCLB reauthorization should include work on both the structure
and funding of the state testing systems.
To begin with, states administered approximately 11.4 million
new tests in the 2005-2006 school year. As states begin adding
the new science tests, that number will double. Eduventures, an
information services company for the education market, estimates
the testing industry value is now at approximately $2.3 billion
for all testing including college admission and prep. NCLB testing
is worth approximately $577 million on it's own, and that will
increase with any new mandates. Ninety percent of the testing is
being done by five major publishers, and new companies are also
getting in on the action.
Today, testing is big business--though not necessarily a profitable
one. The demand for testing has put incredible pressure on the
industry to produce quality and quantity tests. Previously, tests
were only renewed every five to eight years. Now states may own
the copyrights to the tests and release them after administration.
So new tests and questions must be developed each year, and in
order to stay competitive, publishers are "attempting to achieve
efficiencies of scale--get as many contracts as possible," according
to the report.
Publishers are consequently seeing their profit margins erode.
Former ETS Vice President Anthony Carnevale says his company "lost
$18 million on its first NCLB testing deal, a three year $175 million
contract with California."
According to Harcourt President Jeff Galt, "Harcourt is spending
$50 million over 3 years on printers, scanners, software and other
test processing infrastructure--most of this equipment remains
idle during most of the year."
This represents the tip of the iceberg as publishers and state
testing divisions compete for the small numbers of psychometricians
in the workforce. There are only about 12 new graduates in the
field each year and they are moving to where the best offers are.
This in turn has led to a shortage of test questions. States are
now adding daily penalty clauses to contracts for scoring and return
times, and what most describe as the lack of appropriate federal
funding is also contributing to the challenge.
Currently, states are only spending less than one quarter of one
percent of public school revenues on their statewide testing programs,
according to Harvard economist Caroline Hoxby. That amounts to
about $30 to $90 per year on all testing, prep, and any testing-related
services. In FY 06 the federal contribution to state testing was
$412 million, and it will be at least that for FY 07. The Ed Sector
and other experts believe that number should be more than doubled
for an annual federal contribution of $860 million.
Other recommendations from the report include a new Federal responsibility
to increase the number of psychometricians and other testing experts,
fund new research and development on testing, a bi-partisan presidential
commission on testing, a national testing oversight agency, interstate
collaboration, and eventually a single national testing system.
Questions, ideas, or
in need of more information? Please contact Stacey
Pusey at 856-241-7772.
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